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NFL preseason gambling has a completely different dynamic than does the regular season of pro football sports betting.  The motivations and angles are simply different. NFL preseason handicappers can draw upon some solid lessons from the 2008 pro football exhibition sports betting season to apply in this summer’s schedule of action.

The best example of how the NFL preseason is totally meaningless in the context of regular season sports betting comes from the Detroit Lions, who were a perfect 4-0 straight up and 3-0-1 against the spread in exhibition NFL betting last summer.  Yet that same Lions team that was perfect in the NFL preseason was shut out during the regular season as they failed to win a single game straight up to become the first ever 0-16 team in the history of NFL football.

The Lions incentive last NFL preseason was to try and establish momentum for the regular season, which they were able to do, but once the games counted and their opponents played for keeps the Lions were simply overmatched.  This is a great lesson on how lesser teams often carry greater motivational intangibles for the NFL preseason than do their opponents.

An opposite lesson could be drawn from the 2008 NFL preseason with the Indianapolis Colts.  The Colts were a perennial playoff contender that entered 2008 NFL preseason action as a team that was simply looking to avoid injuries.  The veteran Colts had a set lineup and “knew the drill” and had little incentive to “bring it” in the NFL preseason.  The result was a 1-4 straight up record, which was totally meaningless as the Colts made the playoffs at the end of the regular season. 

The Jacksonville Jaguars, on the other hand, finished the preseason with a stellar 3-1 straight up record and yet finished dead last in the AFC south in the regular season and gushed red ink against the spread in the process. The Seattle Seahawks finished 3-1 straight up and 4-0 against the spread in the 2008 exhibition campaign and yet were 4-12 straight up and 7-8-1 against the spread “when it counted.” It all goes to show what matters in August means little come the fall!

 

Bet on the MLBGamblers might feel compelled to place their baseball bets on San Francisco. Rival evaluators who scouted the Giants’ offensive work during spring training all left thinking the same thing; pitchers from opposing teams will have to dig deep. Similar to the Kansas City Royals of the previous two years, the Giants are not known for striking out too often.

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