|Written by Jerry Santiago|
NFL preseason gambling success is an exercise in preparation. Those that prepare the best have the most pro football exhibition sports betting profits come September. NFL preseason handicapping starts with an analysis of each team and their sports betting motivations and objectives for the exhibition schedule.
A good way to begin the process of handicapping each team for NFL preseason wagering is to make a notebook for each team. Analyze what you think they would want to accomplish during the exhibition sports betting schedule. When looking at a team’s NFL betting objectives there are many factors to consider.
A more established perennial contender will not have much of an incentive to win games in the NFL preseason. They will simply want to survive the summer exhibition slate without major injuries to key personnel.
A bad team, on the other hand, may want to use the NFL preseason as a stepping stone for the regular season and to set a positive mood and tone. The Detroit Lions tried that in the 2008 NFL preseason as they went a perfect 4-0, only to go 0-16 when the games counted. Still, this is a great NFL preseason example of bad teams being quite valuable when the games do not count.
Another factor to take into account in the NFL preseason is roster turnover. A team with a lot of new players, especially in the skill positions, will use the NFL preseason to work out the kinks and try and establish flow and rhythm. This means that key skill players may get more playing time than with an established team.
Beyond that teams with new coaches and or coordinators may also use key players longer as they try and work their new systems and play terminology. Further, oftentimes teams with new coaches want to get off to a positive start and will be more motivated in the preseason. The Miami Dolphins were a great example of that in 2008 as they went 3-1 both straight up and against the spread for rookie coach Tony Sparano.
Bet on the MLBGamblers might feel compelled to place their baseball bets on San Francisco. Rival evaluators who scouted the Giants’ offensive work during spring training all left thinking the same thing; pitchers from opposing teams will have to dig deep. Similar to the Kansas City Royals of the previous two years, the Giants are not known for striking out too often.