|Written by Mike|
Bet on the NFLThe closest odds in the NFL this week pits two 5-3 teams with nearly identical stats and who are both coming off of easy wins of the Jets against each other. The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Buffalo Bills at 1:00 PM ET in Ralph Wilson Stadium.
The Chiefs are 5-3 SU so far this season, and 2-2 SU on the road. They are 6-2 ATS, and two of their games have gone OVER the total, with the other six going UNDER the line. They are coming off of a 24-10 win over the New York Jets, where they won against the spread as 9.5 point home favorites. The total went UNDER the 41.5 point line that was set for that game.
The Bills are 5-3 SU overall this year, and 2-2 at home. They are 4-4 ATS, and two of their games have gone OVER the line set by oddsmakers, with the other six going UNDER. They are coming off of a 43-23 win over the New York Jets, where they won against the spread as 3 point road underdogs. The total went OVER the 40 point line that was set by oddsmakers.
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS against AFC opponents, and 6-1 ATS overall lately. They are 4-1 ATS after a win spreadwise, and 10-3 ATS on the road. The total has gone UNDER in all 5 of their recent games after a bye, and UNDER in 6 of their last 7 games in November.
Buffalo is 7-18-1 ATS after a win spreadwise, and 9-24-1 ATS after a SU win. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games in Novembers, and UNDER in 4 of their last 5 at home. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 11 after a win spreadwise.
Between these teams, the Chiefs are 1-6 ATS lately. The road team is 5-1 ATS, while the favorite is 6-2 ATS in this series. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of their last 12 matchups.
They last met in November 2013, when the Chiefs won 23-13, and won against the spread as 4.5 point road favorites. The total went OVER the 40.5 point line that was set by sportsbooks.
For this afternoon's game, the Bills are listed as 1 point home favorites. The over/under is set at 42 points. ON the moneyline, the Bills are a -120, with the Chiefs even money.