Written by Vincent Di Mello
Bet on NCAAFThe Red Raiders (5-4) sponsor the #2 ranked Cowboys (9-0) Saturday at Lubbock, in a big 12 Conference game that appears to be a mismatch. Oklahoma State has the conference foremost scoring offense at 49 points per game, going toe to toe with a Red Raiders defense that gives up almost 42 points per conference game. For the Red Raiders defense it's gut-check time.
Tech's offense, rated #10 in the nation, is the one factor that may make this match fascinating. They do have a potent offensive machine, which averages 37 points per game - 497 yards per game. But the Red Raiders offense is pretty one-dimensional, with a passing game (5th in the nation) averaging 362 yards per game vs a running game that averages simply 135 yards per game.
Since they have the #2 rated offense with 557 yard per game, we all know Oklahoma State can put up major statistics offensively. But will their defense manage to shut down Texas Tech's offense? The Oklahoma State Cowboys have been winning matches this season with their offense, not their defense. Their defense gives up a massive 485 yards per game while enabling almost 30 points per game.
So they could turn this match into a Saturday afternoon disaster for the Oklahoma State Cowboys if the Texas Tech Red Raiders can come up with a big defensive effort and maybe get a few turnovers.
Texas Tech is almost a 20 point longshot in this game up. But Tech is 7-1 straight up in the past 8 games playing Oklahoma State at home. The Cowboys hate Lubbock, and historically do not play well here. In their last 22 games playing at home, the Texas Tech Red Raiders are furthermore 16-6 SU. So it seems as if the Texas Tech Red Raiders may have a tangible home field edge.
Texas Tech is arriving from a 52-20 road loss to Texas, where they did not cover the 14 point spread as underdogs. The 72 points paid off Over bettors. Oklahoma State was a 52-45 champ this past week at home versus Kansas State, and they additionally didn't cover the spread of 21 points as faves. The 97 total points paid off Over gamblers here also. The over/under on this match is 78.5 points.
These 2 robust offenses with relatively weak defenses make the Over bet look pretty tempting for this match. They might not get the upset, but watch for Texas Tech to come up with a huge game on Saturday. Nonetheless Oklahoma State will not cover the spread.