|Written by Mike|
Bet on NCAAFThe 2016 Varlero Alamo Bowl takes place on Saturday, January 2, and features the Oregon Ducks playing the TCU Horned Frogs. The game at the Alamodome is scheduled to kick off at 6:45 PM ET, and will be televised on ESPN and ESPN3. Currently, Oregon is a solid favorite to win.
The Ducks are 9-3 SU and 7-5 ATS so far this season. Eight of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other four all going UNDER. They are coming off of a 52-42 win over Oregon State, where they failed to cover the spread as -34 ½ point home favorites. The total went OVER the 71 ½ point line set by the sportsbook in that matchup.
The Horned Frogs are 10-2 SU and 6-6 ATS overall this year. Five of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other seven going UNDER. They are coming off of a 28-21 win over Baylor, where they won against the spread as 2 point home underdogs. The total went UNDER the 74 ½ point line set by the sports betting experts for that game.
Oregon is 5-1 ATS overall lately, and 4-1 ATS coming off of a spread loss. They are 4-1 ATS in bowl games, and 5-1 ATS playing at a neutral site. They are 27-11 ATS coming off of a SU win, and 34-16-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. The total has gone OVER in 6 of their last 7 after a SU win, and UNDER in 5 of their last 6 bowl games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 7 coming off of a spread loss, and OVER in 4 of their last 5 games overall.
TCU is 6-2 ATS in non-conference play, and 11-4 ATS against teams with a winning record. They are 15-6 ATS coming off of a SU win, and 11-5 ATS after a win spreadwise. They are 1-5 ATS in bowl matchups, and 1-7 ATS at a neutral site. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 9 bowl games, and OVER in all 4 of their games against Pac-12 teams. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games overall, and UNDER in 8 of their last 11 at a neutral site. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 10 against non-conference teams.
These teams have never met before. For Saturday's Alamo Bowl, Oregon is listed in the betting odds as a -7 point favorite. The over/under is set at 74 points. On the moneyline, TCU is listed at +220, while Oregon is a -260.