|Written by Mike|
Bet on NCAAFThe Miami Beach Bowl takes place on Monday, December 21, and features the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers playing the South Florida Bulls. The game at Marlins Park is scheduled to kick off at 2:30 PM ET, and can be viewed on ESPN. Currently, Western Kentucky is a slight favorite to win.
The Hilltoppers are 11-2 SU and 7-5-1 ATS so far this season. The total has gone OVER the line in nine of their games, and UNDER in the other four. They are coming off of a 45-28 win over Southern Mississippi, where they won against the spread as 7 ½ point home favorites. The total went UNDER the 76 point line set by the oddsmakers in that game.
The Bulls are 8-4 SU and 9-2-1 ATS overall this year. The total has gone OVER in five of their games, UNDER in six, and was a PUSH in one game. They are coming off of a 44-3 win over Central Florida, where they won against the spread as 24 ½ point road favorites. The total went UNDER the 53 ½ point line set by the sportsbook for that matchup.
Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS after a win spreadwise, and 3-1-1 ATS overall lately. They are 1-4 ATS against non-conference opponents, and 1-4 ATS playing on grass. The total has gone OVER in 6 of their last 7 games on grass, and OVER in 6 of their last 7 against teams with a winning record. The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 6 against non-conference teams, and UNDER in 4 of their last 5 in December. The total has gone OVER in 9 of their last 13 after a win spreadwise.
South Florida is 4-0 ATS overall lately, and 9-1-1 ATS playing on grass. They are 7-1 ATS after a SU win, and 5-1 ATS after a win spreadwise. They are 4-1 ATS in bowl games, and 4-1 ATS in non-conference play. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games in December, and UNDER in 13 of their last 19 after a win spreadwise. The total has gone UNDER in 27 of their last 40 overall, and UNDER in 21 of their last 32 on grass.
These teams last met in September 2010, when South Florida won 24-12, but Western Kentucky covered the spread as 27 ½ point road underdogs. The total went UNDER the 56 ½ point line set by sports betting experts.
For Monday's bowl game, Western Kentucky is a 2 ½ point favorite in the betting odds. The over/under is set at 65 ½ points. On the moneyline, the Hilltoppers are a -135, with the Red Bulls listed at +115.