|Written by Mike|
Bet on NCAABIt's not quite Bears-Packers, but it's the closest we'll get until the NFL is back. So let's take a look at a Friday night matchup from the Horizon League, as the Illinois-Chicago Flames take on the Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix. The game at the Resch Center is scheduled to tip off at 8:00 PM ET, and will be televised on ESPN3. As of this writing, Wisconsin Green Bay is a solid favorite to win at home.
The Flames are 5-22 SU and 10-15 ATS so far this season. They are 0-11 on the road, and 9 of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other 16 all going UNDER. They are coming off of a 74-63 loss to the Oakland Golden Grizzlies, where they won against the spread as 15 point home underdogs. The total went UNDER the 163 point line set by sports betting companies for that game.
The Phoenix are 18-11 SU and 15-10-1 ATS overall this year. They are 10-2 at home, and 16 of their games have gone OVER the line, with the other 10 all going UNDER. They are coming off of a 78-61 win over the Cleveland State Vikings, where they won against the spread as -13 point home favorites. The total went UNDER the 149 ½ point line set by NCAA basketball gambling experts in that one.
Illinois-Chicago is 6-1 ATS overall lately, and 6-1 ATS against the Horizon League. They are 4-1 ATS coming off of a spread win, and 4-1 ATS against teams with a winning record overall. They are 5-16 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record at home, and 3-10 ATS on the road. They are 0-4 ATS on Friday night.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home, and UNDER in 12 of their last 16 on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of their last 15 coming off of a win spreadwise, and UNDER in 14 of their last 20 coming off of a SU win. The total has gone UNDER in 23 of their last 33 games overall.
Wisconsin Green Bay is 3-0-1 ATS at home, and 6-2-1 ATS overall lately. They are 6-2-1 ATS against Horizon League opponents, and 23-8 ATS at home against teams with a losing record on the road. They are 7-3 ATS coming off of a spread win, and 8-3 ATS against teams with a losing record overall.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of their last 9 games coming off of a SU win, and OVER in 5 of their last 7 after a win spreadwise. The total has gone OVER in 9 of their last 14 games at home against teams with a losing record on the road.
Between these teams, UIC is 7-2 ATS lately, and 4-10 ATS when playing in Green Bay. The home team is 4-0 ATS, while the underdog is 7-2 ATS in this series. The total has gone OVER in 10 of their last 14 matchups at Wisconsin Green Bay.
They last met on January 14, 2016, when Green Bay won 78-76, and Illinois-Chicago covered the spread as -13 ½ point home underdogs. The total went UNDER the 158 ½ point line set by the sportsbook in that matchup.
For Friday night's game, betting odds list the Phoenix as a -16 point home favorite. The over/under is set at 161 points. Since the spread is over 14 points, no moneyline has been set for this game, as oddsmakers consider it highly probably that Wisconsin Green Bay will win straight up.