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Bet on NCAABThe Virginia Commonwealth Rams take on the Florida State Seminoles tonight in a low seed matchup. VCU is seeded No. 11, while the Seminoles are the No. 10 seed. The game will be televised Friday night on TBS, with the game tipping off at 9:57 PM ET.

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The key for VCU will be forcing the Seminoles to turn the ball over. Maintaining a high turnover margin has kept the Rams alive all year, as the team has a turnover margin of plus-129 in their 26 wins this year. In their 11 losses, their turnover margin is only plus-4.

So the more susceptible Florida State is to the havoc that VCU will try to create, the less chance they have of making it to the Elite Eight. In fact, the Seminoles are quite possibly the perfect matchup for an easy VCU victory. Florida State has 109 more turnovers than they have assists in total this season.

While Florida State has made it past Texas A&M and Notre Dame to get this far, VCU's defense is much more aggressive than either of those teams. The Seminoles' ability to keep a handle on the ball will be of supreme importance. Lose the ball too often, and VCU will run away with the win.

But the Seminoles could achieve victory here if they keep shooting as well as they have in their previous two tournament wins this year. And they have also gotten more assists than turnovers so far in the tournament. If they shoot well and score at least 70, VCU may not be able to keep up.

In the end, though, the VCU defense may be the key to either team's victory tonight. If Florida finds a way to get past the pressure defense and score well on decent shooting percentages, VCU loses. But if the defense holds up and the Seminoles lose the ball often, VCU wins.

As has been the case in the 2011 tournament, VCU is both the underdog and the team to watch. Florida is listed by the sportsbook as the 4-point favorites. The total is set at 131.

 

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