|Written by Jerry Santiago|
|Monday, 16 February 2009 07:50|
March Madness greatness and the Duke Blue Devils are synonymous yet the Blue Devils have failed to deliver in NCAA March Madness action over the past few years. March Madness, like any other sports betting endeavor, comes down to obtaining as much value as possible.
The Duke Blue Devils have a NCAA March Madness tradition and reputation that makes them incredibly popular with the masses. Beyond that Duke always has a target on their back with their March Madness opponents because of their reputation. All of this has combined to deplete their overall March Madness betting value.
Too many gamblers have simply over-paid on Duke over the past few seasons in March Madness action. Duke’s March Madness problems began in 2005 when they went into the “Sweet Sixteen” round of the tournament before losing to Michigan State.
Duke finished the 2005 “Big Dance” 2-1 straight up but 0-3 against the NCAA March Madness board. Their most embarrassing failure was a weak 57-46 win over Delaware State as 26-point chalks. It was more of the same for Duke in 2006 March Madness action.
In the first round they defeated Southern 70-54 but failed to cover the 25.5 point number. After winning and covering against George Washington, Duke lost to LSU 54-62 as 5-point chalks. Once again Duke was always favored but simply didn’t have what was needed to get the cash.
In 2007 March Madness action the Blue Devils would humiliate themselves and frustrate March Madness gamblers with a putrid performance in a 77-79 loss to VCU as 6-point chalks. This was a relatively cheap price for Duke in the first round and their failure to deliver was indicative of their overall decline.
2008 was more of the same for Duke. They began March Madness action with a 71-70 escape against Belmont as 20-point chalks before losing in the next round to West Virginia 67-73 as 4-point chalks.
The overall lesson that we can get from Duke is that you must bet reality rather than reputation. Reputations, in fact, can be costly on the board.
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