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March Madness 2009 gamblers know that many surprise teams earn their invite to the “Big Dance” and March Madness success by their play in the conference tournaments.  When handicapping March Madness 2009 conference tournament action the first place you want to look is for a good team that is considered to be “on the bubble” for an invite to the NCAA tournament.

By the same token it is often wise to avoid a team already assured of an invite as they often prove to be poor March Madness values in conference tournament action.  A great lesson about the potential pitfalls of March Madness 2009 conference tournament action comes from the North Carolina Tar Heels.

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North Carolina is always one of the most revered and popular teams in March Madness action and often one of the poorest values as a result of all of this “public” attention.  March Madness 2009 bettors would be well advised to study the Tar Heels performance in the 2008 ACC tournament.

As March Madness 2009 handicappers will recall, The Tar Heels were one of the favorites for the Final Four and were dominant in Atlantic Coast Conference play.  As they entered the 2008 ACC tournament, many March Madness 2009 gamblers will recall that they were, in fact, considered “unbeatable”.

That label right there is a great example and warning of what to avoid in March Madness 2009.  Since North Carolina was already a near certainty for a top seed in the NCAA tournament, they had little incentive for the conference tournament.

Smart March Madness 2009 handicappers also knew that their opponents were playing for their lives and that the ACC tourney was their last chance to gain an invite to the “Big Dance”.

Sure enough, as March Madness 2009 gamblers will recall North Carolina failed to cover against Florida State, Virginia Tech, and Clemson despite winning all three games and the ACC tourney title.

The combination of Carolina’s lack of urgency and their opponents desperation served to give a great lesson for March Madness 2009 on how to judge conference tournament value.

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